Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 92.657704 102.634658 112.900589 124.230335 136.360352 148.935084 162.933273
2025-01-05 76.461748 91.063203 106.848597 125.084457 145.471349 167.464785 192.886793
2025-01-12 67.195798 84.172337 103.156885 125.764631 151.755016 180.505323 214.514844
2025-01-19 58.019371 76.211310 97.203468 122.899350 153.181113 187.417491 228.725929
2025-01-26 54.283779 74.102585 97.554132 126.887445 162.122939 202.625544 252.224118
2025-02-02 50.502294 71.505505 96.952174 129.422278 169.109787 215.413635 272.867147
2025-02-09 46.538992 68.300133 95.276872 130.362312 173.955457 225.526042 290.295701
2025-02-16 44.546551 67.418970 96.331576 134.540445 182.662773 240.241095 313.271618
2025-02-23 41.758425 65.251742 95.551315 136.248270 188.207243 251.081887 331.608718
2025-03-02 37.841813 61.268701 92.157292 134.382252 189.085087 256.078001 342.761556
2025-03-09 34.692878 58.113604 89.647811 133.470765 191.015014 262.264670 355.316184
2025-03-16 32.189218 55.690403 87.962970 133.502686 194.046755 269.762543 369.479965
2025-03-23 31.183725 55.430442 89.276341 137.638804 202.586333 284.465330 393.027216
2025-03-30 29.315324 53.769092 88.552297 138.967162 207.442715 294.549350 410.908480
2025-04-06 27.407426 51.901980 87.411516 139.615708 211.320066 303.341794 427.164668
2025-04-13 24.580678 48.396625 83.722573 136.542266 210.054709 305.372984 434.719083
2025-04-20 24.041286 48.492262 85.274903 140.840693 218.791483 320.488747 459.185690
2025-04-27 23.118724 47.894911 85.748250 143.574413 225.394934 332.849049 480.186433
2025-05-04 21.819220 46.579409 85.065755 144.587472 229.600268 342.051764 497.139351
2025-05-11 21.466142 46.840363 86.776623 149.089152 238.684584 357.802978 522.760111
2025-05-18 20.499825 45.974549 86.695707 150.928385 244.042720 368.609566 541.971624
2025-05-25 18.729415 43.565520 84.086826 148.918757 243.901315 371.984853 551.379246
2025-06-01 17.313540 41.687100 82.223301 147.936916 245.149383 377.195383 563.208996